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Weekly Stock Market Update

Stock Market Update – Week of 9/29/2014

Market Overview

Sources: Rates Data and Economic Calendar—Bloomberg Markets as of 9/29/14; Equity Market Returns and Fixed Income and Alternatives Data—Wells Fargo Advisers as of 9/29/14

 

Happening Now

Broad Global Equity Market Sell-Off Last Week

Last week markets took a step back as we saw a broad based sell-off in U.S. and International equity markets across all capitalizations. The S&P 500 index fell -0.59%, the S&P Mid Cap 400 index lost -1.18%, the Russell 2000 index declined -0.95% and the MSCI ACWI index gave back -1.58%. Equity markets seem to be more negatively affected by, what is in our opinion, short term geopolitical noise then the traditional “risk off” asset classes. As of yesterday’s close, yields on the 10 year U.S. Treasury moved 9 bps lower from 2.59% as of 9/19/14 to 2.50% and Gold saw a slight price increase of 0.15%. The weakness in stock prices comes amidst a gradually improving U.S. economy as last week’s data releases included primarily positive results summarized in the table below:

20140929 - Stock Market Update Chart 2

Divergences of economic and market performance can result in opportunities for investors who have a longer term investment horizon. We believe that the geopolitical events which have caused an increase in volatility and negative market returns are natural during the course of a secular bull market and not likely to fundamentally disrupt overall economic growth. It is important to focus on a strategic asset allocation strategy and not become overly focused on shorter term, often difficult to predict, market movements. For this reason, while we may and often do make tactical adjustments to our target-risk model portfolios, we believe that significantly altering the allocation to equities and cash in an attempt to time the market is generally an exercise in futility and may result in disappointing long term performance results that fail to meet the goals and objectives of many investors.

 

Important Information and Disclaimers

Past Performance is not a guide to future performance.

Investing in foreign securities presents certain risks not associated with domestic investments, such as currency fluctuation, political and economic instability, and different accounting standards. This may result in greater share price volatility. These risks are heightened in emerging markets.

There are special risks associated with an investment in real estate, including credit risk, interest rate fluctuations and the impact of varied economic conditions. Distributions from REIT investments are taxed at the owner’s tax bracket.

The prices of small company and mid cap stocks are generally more volatile than large company stocks. They often involve higher risks because smaller companies may lack the management expertise, financial resources, product diversification and competitive strengths to endure adverse economic conditions.

Investing in commodities is not suitable for all investors. Exposure to the commodities markets may subject an investment to greater share price volatility than an investment in traditional equity or debt securities. Investments in commodities may be affected by changes in overall market movements, commodity index volatility, changes in interest rates or factors affecting a particular industry or commodity.

Products that invest in commodities may employ more complex strategies which may expose investors to additional risks.

Investing in fixed income securities involves certain risks such as market risk if sold prior to maturity and credit risk especially if investing in high yield bonds, which have lower ratings and are subject to greater volatility. All fixed income investments may be worth less than original cost upon redemption or maturity. Bond Prices fluctuate inversely to changes in interest rates. Therefore, a general rise in interest rates can result in the decline of the value of your investment.

Definitions

MSCI- EAFE: The Morgan Stanley Capital International Europe, Australasia and Far East Index, a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure developed-market equity performance, excluding the United States and Canada.

MSCI-Emerging Markets: The Morgan Stanley Capital International Emerging Market Index, is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure the performance of global emerging markets of about 25 emerging economies.

Russell 3000: The Russell 3000 measures the performance of the 3000 largest U.S. companies based on total market capitalization and represents about 98% of the investible U.S. Equity market.

ML BOFA U.S. Corp Mstr [Merill Lynch U.S. Corporate Master]:  The Merrill Lynch Corporate Master Market Index is a statistical composite tracking the performance of the entire U.S. corporate bond market over time.

ML Muni Master [Merill Lynch U.S. Corporate Master]: The Merrill Lynch Municipal Bond Master Index is a broad measure of the municipal fixed income market.

Investors cannot directly purchase any index.

LIBOR, London Interbank Offered Rate, is the rate of interest at which banks offer to lend money to one another in the wholesale money markets in London.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unweighted index of 30 “blue-chip” industrial U.S. stocks.

The S&P Midcap 400 Index is a capitalization-weighted index measuring the performance of the mid-range sector of the U.S. stock market, and represents approximately 7% of the total market value of U.S. equities. Companies in the Index fall between S&P 500 Index and the S&P SmallCap 600 Index in size: between $1-4 billion.

DJ Equity REIT Index represents all publicly traded real estate investment trusts in the Dow Jones U.S.  stock universe classified as Equity REITs according to the S&P Dow Jones Indices REIT Industry Classification Hierarchy. These companies are REITSs that primarily own and operate income-producing real estate.